Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 104.544647 119.391708 136.390765 157.470866 183.157906 213.767395 2.534993e+02
2025-04-13 83.112878 101.578487 124.812976 156.842653 200.925510 261.178329 3.530010e+02
2025-04-20 73.557348 94.193086 121.939756 163.288568 225.824551 321.496364 4.895309e+02
2025-04-27 68.541525 91.228924 123.489910 174.952708 259.768986 404.346758 6.981716e+02
2025-05-04 61.432703 83.994397 117.367833 173.300467 271.630674 454.107931 8.731440e+02
2025-05-11 56.569505 79.233593 113.980967 174.949666 288.957833 519.177601 1.120545e+03
2025-05-18 51.698085 73.793746 108.644437 172.103311 297.000062 568.202394 1.364810e+03
2025-05-25 48.394265 70.380391 106.051895 173.492006 313.468559 642.079804 1.745345e+03
2025-06-01 45.283113 66.918347 102.887635 173.172471 326.191396 712.466907 2.192736e+03
2025-06-08 42.240638 63.259264 98.925364 170.601147 333.253085 771.418092 2.675501e+03
2025-06-15 40.932777 62.363700 99.709431 177.594104 364.510539 915.966565 3.811253e+03
2025-06-22 37.919057 58.277896 94.240030 170.690133 359.658766 945.453841 4.379724e+03
2025-06-29 35.898948 55.941462 92.119505 171.444780 377.262619 1071.069511 6.042019e+03
2025-07-06 33.876464 53.455196 89.500500 170.827971 391.732336 1200.206450 8.392134e+03
2025-07-13 32.903224 52.757121 90.249408 178.064539 431.685775 1473.183215 1.453975e+04
2025-07-20 32.546310 53.143672 93.190638 191.183318 495.942922 1946.211161 3.299892e+04
2025-07-27 30.856801 50.866164 90.371011 189.322821 509.814037 2170.598769 5.403851e+04
2025-08-03 29.636574 49.385526 89.065669 191.179895 538.142630 2535.097261 1.125578e+05
2025-08-10 28.125286 47.222614 86.068942 187.975220 546.445273 2779.658629 2.135792e+05
2025-08-17 27.098484 45.937098 84.863755 189.538465 574.882447 3250.347660 6.871669e+05
2025-08-24 26.015912 44.460880 83.085892 189.178721 595.605407 3712.364610 3.396629e+06
2025-08-31 24.846943 42.732060 80.577373 186.284824 604.370726 4088.154844 4.152814e+07
2025-09-07 24.448791 42.544296 81.589162 194.159155 667.716018 5343.888176 NaN